Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.637726 0.721990 0.811646 0.913969 1.027340 1.148927 1.289010
2025-09-28 0.497161 0.612349 0.743822 0.904273 1.094041 1.310535 1.575373
2025-10-05 0.418998 0.557561 0.726114 0.944466 1.217871 1.546771 1.970006
2025-10-12 0.357387 0.511312 0.709941 0.981638 1.339682 1.791042 2.398016
2025-10-19 0.298959 0.458593 0.676502 0.990159 1.423471 1.993483 2.790973
2025-10-26 0.251518 0.412357 0.643888 0.993351 1.497496 2.186783 3.185970
2025-11-02 0.213290 0.372663 0.613927 0.994592 1.566129 2.375535 3.587011
2025-11-09 0.182132 0.338304 0.586336 0.994340 1.630076 2.559975 3.992953
2025-11-16 0.157378 0.309980 0.563630 0.997516 1.697241 2.751562 4.419956
2025-11-23 0.134658 0.281124 0.535725 0.988110 1.742203 2.911021 4.807569
2025-11-30 0.120143 0.264531 0.525919 1.006463 1.831361 3.142132 5.316134
2025-12-07 0.103730 0.241424 0.501372 0.996220 1.871313 3.297042 5.713999
2025-12-14 0.092115 0.226145 0.489509 1.007623 1.949701 3.520576 6.237837
2025-12-21 0.078958 0.205245 0.464159 0.991425 1.978295 3.663749 6.640166
2025-12-28 0.073334 0.199881 0.468551 1.031302 2.109499 3.986642 7.356734
2026-01-04 0.068055 0.194358 0.471823 1.069059 2.239340 4.314555 8.099192
2026-01-11 0.060806 0.182738 0.460689 1.076745 2.313170 4.548722 8.693766
2026-01-18 0.054074 0.171072 0.447818 1.079242 2.376692 4.767546 9.272355
2026-01-25 0.048068 0.160075 0.434886 1.079988 2.436273 4.981888 9.853108
2026-02-01 0.042722 0.149753 0.422049 1.079350 2.492500 5.192490 10.436817
2026-02-08 0.038237 0.140928 0.411529 1.082530 2.556245 5.419961 11.061353
2026-02-15 0.033615 0.130638 0.395901 1.072285 2.590879 5.593422 11.594153
2026-02-22 0.030908 0.125736 0.393299 1.091898 2.689726 5.895189 12.379002